Atmosfera 1-2 Tauras Taurage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 40%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.61/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.51
+4% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
289 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tauras Taurage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 2-1 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
1-2
AWAY Tauras Taurage
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Tauras Taurage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tauras Taurage nicked a narrow win over Atmosfera 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atmosfera at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atmosfera had 46% of the ball to Tauras Taurage's 54%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Tauras Taurage?

Atmosfera 1-2 Tauras Taurage in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Tauras Taurage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 44%, draw 23%, Tauras Taurage 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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