Garliava 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
58%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
58%
Away Win
55%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garliava EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 59%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.25/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.52
+23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Garliava
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.04.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 HT 1-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
25.08.2023 Garliava Garliava 0-1 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
07.04.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-2 HT 0-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
10.09.2022 Garliava Garliava 2-3 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Garliava
0-2
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Garliava vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda beat Garliava 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Garliava had 44% of the ball to Neptüna Klaipeda's 56%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Garliava and 1.50 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Garliava vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Garliava 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garliava vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Garliava 20%, draw 22%, Neptüna Klaipeda 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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