Minija 0-4 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

Minija
0-4
Babrungas
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Minija vs Babrungas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.87
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-2.1pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.9pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minija v Babrungas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 57%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.37/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.48
+36% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +118%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Minija vs Babrungas Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Babrungas
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 0-0 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
04.11.2023 Minija Minija 1-3 HT 1-2 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
23.06.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 1-1 Minija Minija LIT1
29.10.2022 Minija Minija 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
24.06.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 3-0 HT 1-0 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas swept aside Minija 4-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Minija and 1.60 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Minija vs Babrungas?

Minija 0-4 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Minija 20%, draw 34%, Babrungas 46%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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