Academico Viseu 0-1 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.02/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.99
-22% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +90%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.65 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
378 Passes 347
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.05.2024 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 3-0 HT 2-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
06.01.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-0 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
21.10.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-3 HT 0-2 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
0-1
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.71 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
319 Passes 316
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria edged past Academico Viseu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Uniao De Leiria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 50% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 50%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.71 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Academico Viseu and 2.00 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Uniao De Leiria?

Academico Viseu 0-1 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 37%, draw 28%, Uniao De Leiria 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Academico Viseu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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