Benfica vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Santa Clara
POR
0-3
HT 0-2
Benfica
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Santa Clara
POR
0-5
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Santa Clara
POR
1-1
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
Benfica 4-1 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica ran out comfortable winners over Santa Clara 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Benfica had 60% of the ball to Santa Clara's 40%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.60 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Benfica and 0.50 for Santa Clara.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Santa Clara?
Benfica 4-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Santa Clara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Benfica 66%, draw 17%, Santa Clara 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.