Foshan Nanshi 3-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

Foshan Nanshi
3-1 HT 3-0
Chongqing Tongliang Long
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division – 2026

Foshan Nanshi vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Foshan Nanshi v Chongqing Tongliang Long — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 55%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.82/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.89
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 84%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
14.0 Crosses 23.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Foshan Nanshi vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.59 xG 1.04
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
194 Passes 321
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.05.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
03.05.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
08.09.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
13.07.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-0 HT 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
21.04.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-4 HT 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
16.03.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chongqing Tongliang Long at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.50 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Foshan Nanshi 3-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 27%, draw 24%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 49%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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