Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 33% vs market 30.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 30%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
0.99/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.21
-15% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
23.9 Crosses 15.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.53 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 268
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2025 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-2 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
04.05.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
12.04.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
03.11.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
14.07.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
30.06.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
0-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
0.68 xG 0.80
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
279 Passes 105
76% Pass Accuracy 52%
28 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi edged past Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Foshan Nanshi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Qingdao Red Lions had 65% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 35%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.68 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Qingdao Red Lions and 1.33 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Foshan Nanshi?

Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Red Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 38%, draw 27%, Foshan Nanshi 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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