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Aston Villa (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa (K) vs Chelsea (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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Aston Villa (K) 1-3 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea (K) saw off Aston Villa (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 45% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 55%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.50 to 3.17.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Aston Villa (K) and 1.67 for Chelsea (K).
What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Chelsea (K)?
Aston Villa (K) 1-3 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Chelsea (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 12%, draw 14%, Chelsea (K) 74%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.