Elfsborg 2-2 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 14 Sep 2025

Elfsborg
2 - 2 HT 0 - 2
Malmö FF
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Elfsborg vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.0
Over
54%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.64
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.78
2-3
47%
1.83
4-5
25%
3.23
6+
6%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.51
1/2 ✗
4%
22.8
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
10%
7.67
X/2
17%
4.7
X/X
15%
5.02
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.58
2/X
5%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.8 — our 4% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Elfsborg v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Elfsborg The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF The Market 52%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.11 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.85
1.61 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2

Elfsborg vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Malmö FF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 1.52
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
165 Passes 528
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.04.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
10.03.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇK
28.05.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
05.05.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
12.11.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
28.05.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ

Elfsborg 2-2 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
2 - 2
AWAY Malmö FF
0.50 xG 2.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
354 Passes 472
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Elfsborg vs Malmö FF
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Elfsborg and Malmö FF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

A gentle 51% lean on Malmö FF didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Elfsborg had 45% of the ball to Malmö FF's 55%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.50 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Elfsborg and 1.17 for Malmö FF.

Elfsborg vs Malmö FF Result & Final Score

Elfsborg 2 - 2 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Elfsborg vs Malmö FF Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 23%, draw 25%, Malmö FF 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malmö FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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