Zamora CF 1-0 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.04
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.44
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora CF EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.35/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.18
-1% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora CF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lugo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Zamora CF Zamora CF 2-0 HT 2-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora CF
1-0
AWAY Lugo
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamora CF vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora CF edged past Lugo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamora CF as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zamora CF had 41% of the ball to Lugo's 59%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Zamora CF vs Lugo?

Zamora CF 1-0 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora CF vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora CF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zamora CF 45%, draw 27%, Lugo 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamora CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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