Pro Patria 0-0 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
23.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.11/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.53
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
210 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Novara
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.01.2025 Novara Novara 2-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
01.10.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
13.01.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 3-0 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
10.09.2023 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-2 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
15.03.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
12.11.2022 Novara Novara 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
0-0
AWAY Novara
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria and Novara fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Novara at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Pro Patria had 47% of the ball to Novara's 53%, shots finished 5-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pro Patria and 1.00 for Novara.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Novara?

Pro Patria 0-0 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 31%, draw 28%, Novara 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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