Preussen Münster 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.39
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
16%
5.22
X/2
9%
6.02
X/X
12%
4.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
2/2
12%
4.22
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.44/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.55
-14% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.7 Crosses 17.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.27 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
342 Passes 415
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL2
01.11.2024 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
1-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83 xG 1.72
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
763 Passes 245
92% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf edged past Preussen Münster 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Preussen Münster at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 72% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 28%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.83 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Preussen Münster and 0.50 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Preussen Münster 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 45%, draw 27%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Preussen Münster), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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