Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 5 Apr 2025

Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-0 HT 1-0
Preussen Münster
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Preussen Münster Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.8
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
19%
5.12
X/2
11%
7.45
X/X
8%
5.32
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
17%
5.02
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.15
Value flag · 2/X at 13.15 — our 9% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Preussen Münster — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.47/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.31
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
23.6 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Preussen Münster Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Preussen Münster
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.08
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
557 Passes 288
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 11
45 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
01.11.2024 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Preussen Münster — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-0
AWAY Preussen Münster
0.91 xG 1.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
273 Passes 397
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 42
17 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf squeezed past Preussen Münster 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 42% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 58%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 0.91 to 1.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Preussen Münster?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 44%, draw 23%, Preussen Münster 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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