Darmstadt 98 1-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.38
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
9%
4.66
X/2
10%
8.93
X/X
12%
5.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.45
2/2
10%
6.54
2/X
7%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.87/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.58
+5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.3 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
331 Passes 401
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-5 HT 0-3 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
28.05.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 4-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
13.11.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
16.04.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-2 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
15.12.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-4 HT 0-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
29.05.2020 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
1-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.41 xG 0.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 355
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 nicked a narrow win over Greuther Fürth 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Darmstadt 98 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 51% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 49%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.41 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.50 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Greuther Fürth?

Darmstadt 98 1-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 48%, draw 25%, Greuther Fürth 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025
14:00 Nürnberg vs Hamburg Analysis →
14:00 Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Preussen Münster Analysis →
21:30 Köln vs Hertha Berlin Analysis →