Greuther Fürth 0-3 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2025

Greuther Fürth
0-3 HT 0-1
Kaiserslautern
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.29
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
26.0
1/X
8%
11.8
X/1
17%
5.69
X/2
11%
6.33
X/X
11%
5.16
2/1
6%
23.65
2/2
16%
3.89
2/X
7%
12.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth v Kaiserslautern — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.67/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.37
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.6 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.68 xG 1.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
393 Passes 319
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.01.2025 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-4 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
09.08.2024 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-2 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
12.04.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
04.11.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
25.02.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
21.08.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-3 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2

Greuther Fürth 0-3 Kaiserslautern — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
0-3
AWAY Kaiserslautern
0.24 xG 2.73
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 532
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern ran out comfortable winners over Greuther Fürth 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 35% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 65%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.24 to 2.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaiserslautern led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Greuther Fürth and 2.17 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern?

Greuther Fürth 0-3 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 41%, draw 25%, Kaiserslautern 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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