Greuther Fürth 2-4 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 24 Jan 2025

Greuther Fürth
2-4 HT 1-1
Kaiserslautern
📅24/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.15
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.5
X/2
6%
6.55
X/X
11%
5.27
2/1
6%
23.4
2/2
21%
4.13
2/X
9%
12.45
Value flag · X/1 at 5.5 — our 20% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth v Kaiserslautern — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.69/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.25
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
20.4 Crosses 21.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.87 xG 1.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
372 Passes 296
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-2 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
12.04.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
04.11.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
25.02.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
21.08.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-3 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
10.03.2018 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2

Greuther Fürth 2-4 Kaiserslautern — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
2-4
AWAY Kaiserslautern
0.75 xG 1.54
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
337 Passes 423
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern beat Greuther Fürth 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Kaiserslautern made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 45% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 55%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.75 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.67 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern?

Greuther Fürth 2-4 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 40%, draw 27%, Kaiserslautern 34%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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