Magdeburg 1-1 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
19%
4.21
X/2
5%
11.9
X/X
11%
6.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.55
2/2
9%
8.89
2/X
5%
16.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.55 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.23/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.00
-54% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.2 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Braunschweig
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.74
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
423 Passes 223
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-3 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
28.01.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-0 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
06.08.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
22.04.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-2 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
15.10.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
29.04.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-1 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
1-1
AWAY Braunschweig
1.18 xG 1.10
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
565 Passes 178
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg and Braunschweig shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Magdeburg at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Magdeburg had 71% of the ball to Braunschweig's 29%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.18 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Magdeburg and 1.33 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Braunschweig?

Magdeburg 1-1 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 58%, draw 22%, Braunschweig 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✗ Over 2.5
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