Patronato 1-0 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.12
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
16%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
43%
+6.2pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.3pp
16%
Away Win
25%
-9.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.4pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
1.16/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.96
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Quilmes
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
138 Passes 303
54% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 55
5 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
09.09.2024 Patronato Patronato 1-1 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
23.04.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 2-2 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
06.06.2017 Quilmes Quilmes 0-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJ
23.02.2016 Quilmes Quilmes 2-2 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
FAQ Patronato vs Quilmes
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Patronato edged past Quilmes 1-0 in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14 Sep 2025.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 37%.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Patronato have the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Patronato and 1.20 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Quilmes?

Patronato 1-0 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Patronato 50%, draw 34%, Quilmes 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patronato), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Patronato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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