Aurora 2-1 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.9pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.33/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.46
-18% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.1 Crosses 14.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
2W-2D-2L
AWAY The Strongest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.32
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
237 Passes 380
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 The Strongest The Strongest 3-2 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
25.11.2024 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
28.07.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
05.11.2023 Aurora Aurora 0-3 HT 0-2 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
10.08.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 0-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
07.05.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-2 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
2-1
AWAY The Strongest
1.73 xG 2.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
273 Passes 318
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aurora vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora squeezed past The Strongest 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aurora had 47% of the ball to The Strongest's 53%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.73 to 2.75 — on chances, The Strongest could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aurora and 1.50 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Aurora vs The Strongest?

Aurora 2-1 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aurora 44%, draw 23%, The Strongest 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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