Bragantino 1-1 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 14 Sep 2025

Bragantino
1-1 HT 0-0
Sport Recife
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bragantino vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.1
X/2
7%
9.25
X/X
14%
4.59
2/1
8%
24.95
2/2
12%
7.77
2/X
5%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.54/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.65
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
24.6 Crosses 18.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Bragantino vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sport Recife
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.09 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
359 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.04.2025 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
29.10.2021 Bragantino 3-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
07.08.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
16.02.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
19.10.2020 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
08.09.2019 Sport Recife Sport Recife 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR2

Bragantino 1-1 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-1
AWAY Sport Recife
3.15 xG 1.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
252 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Sport Recife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino and Sport Recife couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bragantino had 48% of the ball to Sport Recife's 52%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 3.15 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bragantino and 0.33 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Sport Recife?

Bragantino 1-1 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 51%, draw 26%, Sport Recife 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
14 Sep 2025
00:30 Palmeiras vs Internacional Analysis →
03:00 Fluminense vs Corinthians Analysis →
22:00 Juventude vs Flamengo Analysis →
22:00 Atletico Mineiro vs Santos Analysis →
23:30 Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Analysis →