FC Lahti 2-1 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
69%
+1.2pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.6pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
2.22/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.27
-12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
3W-0D-1L
AWAY JaPS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2025 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN2
02.06.2025 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-0 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
15.02.2025 JaPS JaPS 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FINYK
28.06.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-1 JaPS JaPS FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
2-1
AWAY JaPS
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti nicked a narrow win over JaPS 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Lahti had 62% of the ball to JaPS's 38%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Lahti had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Lahti and 0.75 for JaPS.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs JaPS?

FC Lahti 2-1 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 70%, draw 15%, JaPS 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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