Klubi-04 2-3 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
3.17
Over 2.5
50%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.81
2-3 Goals
42%
2.27
4-5 Goals
24%
2.26
6+ Goals
11%
3.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
28%
+21.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
72%
-21.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.2pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Klubi-04 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 53%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.40/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.60
+9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Klubi-04
2W-1D-2L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.07.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-1 HT 3-1 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 FİN2
18.05.2025 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 3-1 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
19.09.2021 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 2-4 HT 1-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
01.07.2021 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 FİN2
20.01.2018 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Klubi-04
2-3
AWAY TPS Turku
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Klubi-04 vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku edged past Klubi-04 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Klubi-04 had 48% of the ball to TPS Turku's 52%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Klubi-04 and 2.00 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of Klubi-04 vs TPS Turku?

Klubi-04 2-3 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Klubi-04 vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Klubi-04 27%, draw 26%, TPS Turku 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ BTTS Yes
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