Brest 1-2 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 14 Sep 2025

Brest
1-2 HT 0-2
Paris FC
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Brest vs Paris FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.71
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
14%
5.85
X/2
10%
5.81
X/X
9%
4.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
26.5
2/2
20%
3.66
2/X
8%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Paris FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.32/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.97
+1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.2 Crosses 26.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Brest vs Paris FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Paris FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.26 xG 0.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
362 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.01.2019 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR2
10.08.2018 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
24.02.2018 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR2
22.09.2017 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
08.08.2017 Paris FC Paris FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FRLK
29.01.2016 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2

Brest 1-2 Paris FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
1-2
AWAY Paris FC
2.57 xG 1.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
316 Passes 405
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brest vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC nicked a narrow win over Brest 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Paris FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Brest had 46% of the ball to Paris FC's 54%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.57 to 1.58 — on chances, Brest could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brest and 0.33 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Brest vs Paris FC?

Brest 1-2 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brest 40%, draw 24%, Paris FC 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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