RC Strasbourg 1-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.43
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
21%
4.27
X/2
12%
8.08
X/X
9%
4.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.1
2/2
9%
6.43
2/X
8%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.1 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +33%
1.61/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.19
+9% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +130%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.6 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Le Havre
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
371 Passes 388
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-3 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
15.12.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-3 HT 0-2 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
04.05.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 3-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
07.02.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-1 HT 2-1 Le Havre Le Havre FRK
10.12.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
28.04.2017 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
1-0
AWAY Le Havre
1.42 xG 0.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
398 Passes 406
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg squeezed past Le Havre 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had RC Strasbourg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 49% of the ball to Le Havre's 51%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.42 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.33 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Le Havre?

RC Strasbourg 1-0 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 50%, draw 25%, Le Havre 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Strasbourg), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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