Le Havre 0-3 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 15 Dec 2024

Le Havre
0-3 HT 0-2
RC Strasbourg
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.85
6+ Goals
13%
17.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.85 — our 24% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.07
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
8%
6.83
X/2
16%
4.85
X/X
11%
4.17
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.11
2/X
10%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v RC Strasbourg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.20
+33% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.2 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
1W-1D-4L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
360 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 3-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
07.02.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-1 HT 2-1 Le Havre Le Havre FRK
10.12.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
28.04.2017 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
29.11.2016 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR2
07.05.2010 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2

Le Havre 0-3 RC Strasbourg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-3
AWAY RC Strasbourg
0.90 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
508 Passes 406
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 17
44 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg swept aside Le Havre 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had RC Strasbourg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Le Havre had 56% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 44%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Havre and 1.67 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg?

Le Havre 0-3 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 31%, draw 27%, RC Strasbourg 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Strasbourg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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