Brest 4-1 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 15 Dec 2024

Brest
4-1 HT 2-0
Nantes
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Brest vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
13%
14.5
X/1
22%
4.55
X/2
8%
6.42
X/X
12%
3.76
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
10%
5.28
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +19%
1.38/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.09
-1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
23.0 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Brest vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
410 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Brest Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
17.12.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-2 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
03.05.2023 Brest Brest 2-0 HT 2-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
16.10.2022 Nantes Nantes 4-1 HT 2-1 Brest Brest FR1
10.04.2022 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
28.01.2022 Nantes Nantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FRK

Brest 4-1 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
4-1
AWAY Nantes
1.99 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
443 Passes 373
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brest vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest cruised past Nantes 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brest had 52% of the ball to Nantes's 48%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.99 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brest and 1.17 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Brest vs Nantes?

Brest 4-1 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brest 46%, draw 30%, Nantes 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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