RC Strasbourg 2-3 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.72
2-3 Goals
45%
2.05
4-5 Goals
22%
2.56
6+ Goals
17%
5.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.89
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.1
X/1
14%
4.39
X/2
8%
11.55
X/X
11%
7.3
2/1
6%
18.65
2/2
10%
8.1
2/X
5%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.2pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
2.21/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.35
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +62%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.1 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Le Havre
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
363 Passes 389
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-3 HT 0-2 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
04.05.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 3-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
07.02.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-1 HT 2-1 Le Havre Le Havre FRK
10.12.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
28.04.2017 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
29.11.2016 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
2-3
AWAY Le Havre
1.70 xG 2.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
411 Passes 381
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre nicked a narrow win over RC Strasbourg 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was RC Strasbourg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 50% of the ball to Le Havre's 50%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 1.70 to 2.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for RC Strasbourg and 0.83 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Le Havre?

RC Strasbourg 2-3 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 49%, draw 26%, Le Havre 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RC Strasbourg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
17 May 2025
22:00 Lille vs Reims Analysis →
22:00 Marsilya vs Rennes Analysis →
22:00 PSG vs Auxerre Analysis →
22:00 Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse Analysis →
22:00 Lens vs Monaco Analysis →
22:00 Nice vs Brest Analysis →