Lille vs Reims Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lille v Reims — Team-Based Signals
Lille vs Reims Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Reims
FR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Lille
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Reims
FR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Lille
FR1
Lille 2-1 Reims — Actual Match Statistics
Lille edged past Reims 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lille had 78% of the ball to Reims's 22%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.06 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lille's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lille and 1.00 for Reims.
What was the final score of Lille vs Reims?
Lille 2-1 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lille vs Reims?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lille 55%, draw 26%, Reims 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.