Nice 6-0 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 17 May 2025

Nice
6-0 HT 3-0
Brest
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
6.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.86
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1
18%
4.29
X/2
10%
12.0
X/X
11%
7.09
2/1
7%
19.25
2/2
10%
8.76
2/X
7%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.89/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.85
-19% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
462 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.0 Crosses 17.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Brest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.09 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
350 Passes 394
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Brest Brest 0-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
04.02.2024 Brest Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
01.10.2023 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
16.04.2023 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
06.11.2022 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
09.01.2022 Brest Brest 0-3 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
6-0
AWAY Brest
5.69 xG 0.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
320 Passes 461
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nice vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice ran out comfortable winners over Brest 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nice had 42% of the ball to Brest's 58%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 5.69 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nice and 0.17 for Brest.

What was the final score of Nice vs Brest?

Nice 6-0 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nice 51%, draw 24%, Brest 25%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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