Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.95/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.10
-18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Busan Transportation
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
18.05.2025 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 1-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
26.10.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-1 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
16.06.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 3-4 HT 2-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
23.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-3 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
27.05.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
02.10.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 3-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation edged past Ulsan Citizen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Busan Transportation as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 2.17 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan Transportation win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 32%, draw 28%, Busan Transportation 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan Transportation), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan Transportation) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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