Telstar 1-3 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Sep 2025

Telstar
1-3 HT 1-1
Fortuna Sittard
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.55
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
29%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.76
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.2
X/1
16%
4.91
X/2
9%
7.32
X/X
11%
4.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.65
2/2
10%
5.15
2/X
9%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.65 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.78/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.61
+24% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
23.0 Crosses 18.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
16.02.2018 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
29.09.2017 Telstar Telstar 0-6 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL2
20.01.2017 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
12.08.2016 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL2
15.02.2016 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-3 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
18.09.2015 Telstar Telstar 3-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL2

Telstar 1-3 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
1-3
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.70 xG 1.10
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 1
384 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fortuna Sittard beat Telstar 3-1 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14 Sep 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Telstar had 56% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 44%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.70 to 1.10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telstar have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Telstar and 1.50 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard?

Telstar 1-3 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Telstar 52%, draw 25%, Fortuna Sittard 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Telstar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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