Excelsior 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Sep 2025

Excelsior
0-1 HT 0-0
Sparta Rotterdam
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
11%
7.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.38
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.5
1/X
8%
11.9
X/1
14%
5.86
X/2
12%
6.17
X/X
8%
5.39
2/1
8%
23.65
2/2
19%
3.66
2/X
5%
12.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.5 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.2pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.43/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.25
-15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
17.5 Crosses 18.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.22 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
310 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-2 HT 2-2 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
01.10.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 2-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
05.03.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 1-4 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
14.01.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
21.01.2018 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-3 HT 2-2 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
21.10.2017 Excelsior Excelsior 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL

Excelsior 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
0-1
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.50 xG 1.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
342 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sparta Rotterdam edged past Excelsior 1-0 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14 Sep 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

On the day, Excelsior had 53% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 47%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.50 to 1.59.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Excelsior and 2.17 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Excelsior 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 39%, draw 21%, Sparta Rotterdam 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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