Utrecht 0-1 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.2
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
4.14
X/2
10%
9.37
X/X
10%
4.8
2/1
8%
24.1
2/2
6%
7.71
2/X
7%
15.8
Value flag · X/1 at 4.14 — our 28% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -22%
1.91/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.61
-10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
23.8 Crosses 14.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Groningen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Utrecht Utrecht 3-1 HT 3-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
20.10.2024 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
07.04.2023 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
06.11.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 2-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
20.03.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 1-3 HT 0-2 Groningen Groningen HOL
21.08.2021 Groningen Groningen 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
0-1
AWAY Groningen
1.24 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
255 Passes 345
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Utrecht vs Groningen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Groningen edged past Utrecht 1-0 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14 Sep 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Utrecht had 45% of the ball to Groningen's 55%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.24 to 1.69.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utrecht and 1.00 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Groningen?

Utrecht 0-1 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 57%, draw 23%, Groningen 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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