Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heracles v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Heracles
HOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Heracles
HOL
Heracles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar edged past Heracles 2-1 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14 Sep 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.
On the day, Heracles had 52% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 48%, shots finished 19-25, expected goals 0.76 to 3.18.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Heracles and 1.00 for AZ Alkmaar.
What was the final score of Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar?
Heracles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Heracles 21%, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.