CD Victoria 2-3 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.18/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.83
-25% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Juticalpa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
10.02.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
28.10.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 4-0 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
18.08.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juticalpa squeezed past CD Victoria 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CD Victoria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Juticalpa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Victoria and 0.67 for Juticalpa.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Juticalpa?

CD Victoria 2-3 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 42%, draw 30%, Juticalpa 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Victoria), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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