York United 2-2 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.04/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.90
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.8 Crosses 10.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.68 xG 1.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
375 Passes 462
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
22.06.2025 York United York United 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
19.04.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-2 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
27.10.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
07.10.2024 York United York United 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
27.07.2024 York United York United 4-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
2-2
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
2.63 xG 1.86
33% Ball Possession 67%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
310 Passes 662
88% Pass Accuracy 92%
30 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH York United vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United and Atletico Ottawa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, York United had 33% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 67%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.63 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for York United and 1.00 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of York United vs Atletico Ottawa?

York United 2-2 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split York United 39%, draw 27%, Atletico Ottawa 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (York United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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