Santa Fe 2-0 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Sep 2025

Santa Fe
2-0 HT 0-0
Union Magdalena
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
67%
-6.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.32/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.41
+6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 71%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
19.4 Crosses 10.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4

Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.33 xG 0.69
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
325 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
31.03.2025 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
20.08.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-2 HT 2-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
26.02.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
26.09.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
04.04.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
21.10.2019 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL

Santa Fe 2-0 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
2-0
AWAY Union Magdalena
2.58 xG 0.27
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
387 Passes 131
83% Pass Accuracy 58%
30 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe beat Union Magdalena 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santa Fe had 67% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 33%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.58 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Fe and 0.33 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena?

Santa Fe 2-0 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 60%, draw 22%, Union Magdalena 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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