Kauno Zalgiris 6-1 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
80%
-5.9pp
17%
Draw
14%
+3.3pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.42/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.94
+18% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FK Riteriai
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-5 HT 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
04.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
16.03.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
05.11.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-3 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
13.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 HT 2-2 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
06.06.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
6-1
AWAY FK Riteriai
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris swept aside FK Riteriai 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 72% of the ball to FK Riteriai's 28%, shots finished 21-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.00 for FK Riteriai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Riteriai?

Kauno Zalgiris 6-1 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 74%, draw 17%, FK Riteriai 9%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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