FA Siauliai 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 45%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.83/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.50
+118% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
320 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.07.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 5-2 HT 1-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
02.05.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-3 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
15.03.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
01.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
26.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
01.05.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
0-1
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen squeezed past FA Siauliai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 51% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 49%, shots finished 5-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.83 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FA Siauliai 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 32%, draw 25%, Hegelmann Litauen 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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