Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alianza Lima v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Alianza Lima 3-4 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Alianza Lima 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
File this under upsets: a 77% lean on Alianza Lima went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (57%) came in, no to both teams scoring (56%) didn't.
The match data tells the story: Alianza Lima had 76% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 24%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.84 to 1.96 — on chances, Alianza Lima could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alianza Lima and 1.00 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Result & Final Score
Alianza Lima 3 - 4 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 77%, draw 14%, Deportivo Garcilaso 8%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No went the other way.