Spartak Subotica 2-5 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
57%
Away Win
63%
-5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 67%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
0.84/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.92
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +76%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
198 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 77%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
16.7 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Partizan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.91
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 Passes 435
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
12.12.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
30.03.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
20.10.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
19.02.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
10.11.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
2-5
AWAY FK Partizan
2.94 xG 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
269 Passes 372
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan ran out comfortable winners over Spartak Subotica 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 44% of the ball to FK Partizan's 56%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.94 to 2.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Spartak Subotica.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.50 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs FK Partizan?

Spartak Subotica 2-5 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 19%, draw 24%, FK Partizan 57%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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