Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v Mladost Lucani — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Backa Topola
SIRP
Backa Topola 1-0 Mladost Lucani — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola nicked a narrow win over Mladost Lucani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Backa Topola had 67% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 33%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.41 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mladost Lucani led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Backa Topola and 2.00 for Mladost Lucani.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani?
Backa Topola 1-0 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 53%, draw 26%, Mladost Lucani 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.