Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Sligo Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Derry City
İRL
2-1
HT 1-1
Sligo Rovers
İRL
1-0
HT 1-0
Derry City
İRL
Derry City 1-1 Sligo Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City and Sligo Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Derry City at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Derry City had 53% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 47%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.72 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sligo Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Derry City and 1.17 for Sligo Rovers.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?
Derry City 1-1 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Derry City 66%, draw 18%, Sligo Rovers 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.