Vancouver FC 1-1 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 29% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 33%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.83/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.63
-37% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
17.0 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valour
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.88 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
03.06.2024 Valour Valour 2-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
15.04.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
21.09.2023 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
07.08.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
25.06.2023 Valour Valour 1-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC and Valour couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vancouver FC and 0.83 for Valour.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Valour?

Vancouver FC 1-1 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 40%, draw 27%, Valour 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver FC) ✗ BTTS No
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