Poole Town 2-0 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +24%
1.51/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.23
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
247 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dorchester Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.04.2025 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
26.12.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
26.12.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
28.08.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-6 HT 1-3 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Poole Town Poole Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town beat Dorchester Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Poole Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Poole Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Poole Town and 1.33 for Dorchester Town.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Dorchester Town?

Poole Town 2-0 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 42%, draw 22%, Dorchester Town 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Poole Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Poole Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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