Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-2
HT 2-1
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Once Caldas
KOL
Once Caldas 1-5 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin cruised past Once Caldas 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Once Caldas had 54% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 46%, shots finished 18-24, expected goals 1.52 to 2.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Once Caldas and 1.67 for Independiente Medellin.
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin?
Once Caldas 1-5 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 34%, draw 25%, Independiente Medellin 42%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.