Hırvatistan U21 1-0 Ukrayna U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+11.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.4pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan U21 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.94/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.73
+68% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
7.8 Crosses 11.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hırvatistan U21
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ukrayna U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.26
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
481 Passes 325
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.06.2023 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Hırvatistan U21 Hırvatistan U21 Avrupa - UEFA U21 Şampiyonası
28.05.2014 Hırvatistan U21 Hırvatistan U21 1-1 HT 0-0 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 U21
09.09.2013 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 0-2 HT 0-2 Hırvatistan U21 Hırvatistan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan U21
1-0
AWAY Ukrayna U21
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan U21 nicked a narrow win over Ukrayna U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Hırvatistan U21 made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hırvatistan U21 had 58% of the ball to Ukrayna U21's 42%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hırvatistan U21 and 1.00 for Ukrayna U21.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21?

Hırvatistan U21 1-0 Ukrayna U21 in the European U21 on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hırvatistan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan U21 39%, draw 22%, Ukrayna U21 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hırvatistan U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hırvatistan U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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