Airbus UK 2-3 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.4pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airbus UK EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.52/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/3.14
+33% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / -28%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
491 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airbus UK
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Denbigh Town
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
08.11.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 0-4 HT 0-1 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
26.07.2024 Airbus UK Airbus UK 7-0 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
02.03.2024 Airbus UK Airbus UK 3-1 HT 2-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
08.09.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
POST-MATCH Airbus UK vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town nicked a narrow win over Airbus UK 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Airbus UK at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Airbus UK had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Airbus UK and 0.75 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Airbus UK vs Denbigh Town?

Airbus UK 2-3 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airbus UK vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Airbus UK 61%, draw 18%, Denbigh Town 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Airbus UK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Airbus UK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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