Trefelin 2-0 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
15%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.0pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.51/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.70
-24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
9 Corners 1
29.03.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
12.10.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 2-1 HT 2-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
08.03.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 1-1 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
28.08.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 6-1 HT 2-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
18.04.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-3 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
26.08.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin got the better of Carmarthen Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trefelin and 2.33 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town?

Trefelin 2-0 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 51%, draw 19%, Carmarthen Town 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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