Besat Kermanshah 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
41%
2.88
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.38
Over 2.5
25%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
49%
1.85
2-3 Goals
35%
1.83
4-5 Goals
11%
6.85
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.85 — our 49% vs market 45.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
27%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.4pp
41%
Draw
31%
+10.0pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.7pp
75%
Under 2.5
69%
+6.1pp
25%
Over 2.5
31%
-6.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.8pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Besat Kermanshah EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -20%
0.38/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.65
-61% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Besat Kermanshah
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.12.2024 Besat Kermanshah 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Besat Kermanshah vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC nicked a narrow win over Besat Kermanshah 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Besat Kermanshah vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Besat Kermanshah 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Besat Kermanshah vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Besat Kermanshah 30%, draw 41%, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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